Re: AFCI ..Actual benefits??
The problem with any protective device is that you can never get statistics on its successes. Just suppose that a lamp with a slightly frayed cord does start arcing. Suppose further that the brand new AFCI that you just installed for this homeowner sees that arcing, and trips. What happens? All the HO knows is that the light went out. For all he knows, it might have been a burned out bulb. After some investigation, he sees the breaker has tripped, and he resets it. In the mean time, he had moved the lamp just enough to straighten out the section that had been arcing. The lamp might work just fine for another six months. The AFCI just prevented a fire, and no one, not even the HO, knows about it.
But even if the HO did a bit more investigating, found the frayed cord, and replaced the lamp, the event will not be recorded in any statistical database. Do you suppose the HO will make a 911 call, to report the fire that didn't happen?
So the real answer to your second question goes beyond jwelectric's "I don't know." The answer is "Nobody knows."