peak accuracy, peak estimates, peak type/time
peak accuracy, peak estimates, peak type/time
Are you sure the POCO does not have demand data for this load or a similar load?
Having a demand meter is the only accurate means. The problem with some demand meters is that the interval may not be short enough for what you are doing. The average demand over an hour will not show you the short-time stress your equipment sees. Be sure you have a short enough demand interval to get the data you need. The POCO meter may only use 15, 30, or 60 minute intervals.
Don't forget that kW is only part of the story. The equipment sees the kVA. The smaller the power factor, the smaller kW is relative to kVA (pf = kW/kVA).
You could also do a load survey and calculate the demand or run some test loads. The survey data would have to include which processes were run during which part of the year. This would yield an estimate.
Another means is to use a load shape from a similar building & operation that has demand data and scale according to the kWh data you have. You might have to make a few tweaks for minor differences. If there are a lot of differences, you are basically going to be making a load survey. This will yield an estimate.
One more thing. You asked for a peak demand profile. There are two demand interval peaks we usually look at: the coincident peak (CP) and the non-coincident peak (NCP).
The NCP is the highest demand at any point during the time period. The CP is the demand at a time that has a particular significance. The CP could be coincident with other plant loads, other local utility loads, or state-wide utility loads, etc.
An analogy: kWh is like distance and kW is like speed. Supposed you drove 140 miles in 2 hours. Your average speed (like an average demand) is 70 mph. During the trip, you went 90 mph at times, 80 mph at times, 70 mph at times, and 65 mph at times.
Your NCP number is 90 mph. An important point in time is when you passed the highway patrol. That would be your CP.
Most of the time, we are only concerned with the NCP. This is used for sizing equipment, most rates, etc. But suppose a plant sets the NCP at night and has a lower peak during the day? They may want to consider a rate that gives them a discount because electricity is cheaper at night.
If a plant is having trouble with a particular piece of equipment, we may only be concerned with the peak that occurs when the equipment is running.