180219-2349 EST
hbiss:
You need to run some experiments.
Take a can fixture for a 60 W incandescent, and totally blanket this in fiberglass insulation. Install a thermocouple at the socket to measure the temperature. Compare the temperature rise of the socket with 120 V 60 Hz input to a 60 W incandescent, and a 9 W LED. Have the can light pointing down.
Several basic points:
1. An incandescent bulb is composed of a number of components that can continuously tolerate moderately high temperatures. Tungsten, glass, brass, aluminum, solder, and special cements.
The tungsten filament itself operates at a very high temperature. Of the input energy to the bulb a moderately large percentage is radiated at a high frequency (visible light), and an even greater amount at somewhat lower frequencies, just below visible light. This energy is radiated out of the fixture. The much lower frequencies are a small component of the total input energy, and end up having to be conducted out of the fixture.
2. An LED bulb is mostly electronic components. Grossly we can say that these probably should not be operated above about 150 F.
The energy input to an LED has a large amount of input energy come out of the bulb at some narrow frequencies within the visible spectrum. Very little at high IR frequencies. The electronic components being at very very low IR frequencies don't radiate much energy and this energy needs to be conducted away.
I don't remember the details of my experiments, but the temperature rise was too high for the LED.
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