Actually there are no real stats on the actual number of fires that are really of electrical origin. Even using the stats that are out there, less than 5% of the total dwelling unit fires are of electrical origin, and of those that are, at least 85% are in dwelling units that are over 20 years old. There is no reasonable evidence that AFCIs or this new device is even needed if you would look at it from a cost v benefit basis.
At the moment i forget the orginization that sends out/collects back the stats from American fire depts. I recall something along the lines of mostly large city dept's having anyone who takes the time to sent in this voluntary paperwork, while most rurals do not. Add to that the spectre of thumbnail forensics for those who do send them in , simply checking off 'electrical fire'.
As a former FF, i'm not impressed. The fact that 5% of any given trades problems in construction should dominate 95% of UL, NEMA, NEC, CSPC, or any other federally subsidized entity you and i pitch for, up to and including some 'contest' toward erradication of it sits rather poorly with me.
Add to this a decade of marketing hyperbole predicated on their decisions, resulting in many an EC like myself caught in an aura of liability by proxy installing a product of nefarious claims, further, of dubious efficacy past the first V-spike (it says it can't be megged) , is seldom tested, has no lockout mechanism (like the gfci's now do) , etc ad naseum.
Statistics?
Well, One might think by now there should be post-afci fire stats as well if any viable means of collection existed. But perhaps our view internally here are the real blinders, perhaps a comparitive analyisis of American OCDP vs, those countries that utilize the differential might be revealing, as their earth leakage detection has existed well over a generation , and would be somewhat in the ballpark with our desire of GFPE (300 vs. 30 ma, iirc) protection
So yes, the entire history screams the old addage lies, da*med lies, and statistics........
How costly would this new product be? It appears you would need one at every device and connection point in the system.
i really don't know , methinks the jury's still out on that
i do know that it'd be a lot cheaper than trying to stuff 30 afci's in a 40 cir resi panel (i'm tired of that)
but i doubt they would replace afci technology, rather i see the powers that be confronted toward redefining what an afci technology can / can not do,
with GCI technology marketed to address what they do not
~S~