If ferroresonance is the cause, wouln't you expect that the core heating would be indicated in the infrared photos that you took ? I am a total newb on this stuff, but I coudn't find online a picture of a transformer undergoing ferroresonance. My brain would just expect that the RLC ckt formed would make the transformer core look something like a stove heating element, but your pics seem to show arcing at the lugs and possibly xo ? It would be interesting if someone with experience could elaborate on this.