Unless you have an AFCI that tells you what the trip was, everyone is guessing. It could be an overload, a short circuit or high current ground fault, a low current ground fault, an arcing fault (assuming they even exist at dwelling unit voltages) or is just tripped because it wanted to.
That being said, I have had some discussions with AFCI design engineers and they believe that 80% or more of the trips are ground fault trips. Many of those from poor wiring practices.
I totally agree. The problem is the we are responding to an incident and then apply our best electrical knowledge, experience, and expertise to diagnose what the caused of trip was. As I have said before I am a believer in the AFCI technology as my home was BETA for them just before their release as a knew one of the design engineers personally and regularly communicated with many others. Since their release some 15+ years ago I have been very disappointed that the documentation from the field has been slim to none. I would have though that the insurance companies would have given then great accolades but silence. I'm not trying to be sarcastic but where does that 80% come from since the first documentation appears to be slim to none at best?
Make no mistake that I am a supporter of AFCI technology but have been extremely disappointed that there hasn't been more positive feedback from the field. This is frustrating.