Fulthrotl
~Autocorrect is My Worst Enema.~
- Occupation
- E
Do most of you think that our market will recover "some what" during the spring reguardless of the economy, or not? like April or the middle of march? what time typically in the spring do things break loose? I dont expect things to pop back to normal due to the economy, but at least the spring pop back?
i vote for, "or not".
the "spring back up" is a function of weather in many areas of the country.
at this juncture, it isn't the driving force in the nation's economy.
aside from the fact that as a nation we spent all our money, and are
somewhat broke, the real obstacle facing us in the next three months is
blind fear. the situation we face nationally is not entirely unlike what was
faced at the inauguration of 1932. it obviously isn't as bad, but what exists
now, that didn't exist then, is an almost instantaneous response time in our
global financial markets.
that's the unknown variable now, and how it will play out remains to be seen.
we've been in depressed economies before, but we've never had the level of
interconnectivity that we possess today. that's why the markets are
oscillating like they are.
in the past, the herd could stampede, but it didn't have the throttle response
to go from calm to deranged in 3.1 nanoseconds. if you were a car freak, like
i am, it's like driving a big block, with an extreme cam, and no flywheel, in
bumper to bumper traffic.
the talking heads in the news media aren't helping.. obama did this, obama
did that, obama had gas from his raisin bran this morning.... how well could
*any* of us do our job if we had a quarter billion people peeking over our
shoulder, murmuring "he tightened the last wire nut a quarter turn tighter
than the one before it, we feel this means he lacks confidence in the quality
of his connections...."
in the first 100 days of his presidency, roosevelt's level of communication
with the american people amounted to 2 fireside chats, and thirty press
conferences.
the talking heads have provided more than that in the first 100 hours since
the inauguration.
nobody's wristwatch seems to have an hour hand anymore. it took 25 years
for our current economic situation to get to this point. it's gonna take more
than a week and a half to fix. have a beer. relax. it's gonna take a while.
right now, there is less work to do than there are people to do it. i personally
don't like making less money for a given amount of work than i have made in
the recent past for that work.
however, i like even less watching someone else do it for less, while i do
nothing but watch and complain loudly that "it isn't right"....
randy